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10/7/2024

WT Staff

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October 7, 2024 updated 835 pm EDT

Tracking Category 5 Hurricane Milton, extremely serious threat to Florida

Hurricane Milton Special Advisory Number 11A
issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 7 pm CDT Mon Oct 07 2024

CENTRAL PRESSURE IN THE EYE OF MILTON HAS FALLEN TO A NEAR RECORD LOW...MILTON POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO FLORIDA AND RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO FOLLOW THE ORDERS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS

At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Milton was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 90.4 West. Milton is moving toward the east near 10 mph (17 km/h). This general motion is expected through tonight followed by a turn toward the east- northeast and northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Milton is forecast to move near or just north of the Yucatan Peninsula tonight and Tuesday, then cross the eastern Gulf of Mexico and approach the west coast of the Florida Peninsula on Wednesday.

Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds remain near 180 mph (285 km/h) with higher gusts. Milton is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. While fluctuations in intensity are expected, Milton is forecast to remain an extremely dangerous hurricane through landfall in Florida.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km).
Forecaster Pasch-Papin
North Atlantic Hurricane Season runs June 1 to November 30.

More information on Hurricane Milton, including forecast impact to land, here.

WT HAB Tracker
from the satellite monitoring program of the NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science(NCCOS), Cyanobacteria Assessment Network (CyAN) and State sources where available

New York
One hundred and sixty one HABs emerge from the first weekend in October, this level of activity is higher than the peak daily activity in all of 2023 season. The top four HAB-impacted lakes in the west interior account for approximately half of the total active bluegreen blooms statewide Monday morning. Casey Park Pond is confirmed with the first HAB of the season in Ontario County. Updates are in progress, the latest impacted water body list is available here.

The latest satellite image of Lake Champlain was captured October 6, this image is mostly cloud obscured, wind speed unknown. Baie Missisquoi appears clear of HAB activity. Lake Carmi widespread HAB is in view at high concentration 700 thousand cells per ml. See the NCCOS color image of Lake Champlain here.

Streamflow Situation from the USGS network of streamflow gauges
An increasing number of monitoring stations are reporting flows below 10th percentile values Monday with more surface area filling in the drought map over the weekend. Lake Ontario minor tributaries west section remains in a state of extreme drought for a second week, impacting Niagara, Orleans and west Monroe Counties. The adjacent area of Lake Ontario minor tributaries central section also below normal impacting east Monroe, Wayne and north Onondaga Counties. New to the drought map, Susquehanna River watershed is rated below normal. Parts of Mohawk and Upper Hudson Rivers are rated below normal through south Herkimer, Fulton and Montgomery Counties. Lower Hudson River is back on the drought map below normal in north Orange, Putnam and Westchester Counties. As of this report, there are no extreme high or low flows recorded in the network.









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