11/4/2024
WT Staff
 Got water questions? Give us a call at 877-52-WATER (877-529-2837), or email us at info@wtny.us
November 4, 2024 937 am EST
Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 eyes Jamaica, Cayman Islands, Cuba
Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Mon Nov 04 2024
SYSTEM EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SOON...FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Cayman Islands
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Jamaica
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
24 hours.
Interests in Cuba and the Florida Keys should closely monitor this
system. Additional watches or warnings could be required today.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
At 700 AM EST (1200 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
14.8 North, longitude 76.8 West. The system is moving toward the
north near 7 mph (11 km/h). A northwestward motion is expected
later today and forecast to continue for the next few days. On
the forecast track, the system is expected to move near Jamaica
this evening, be near or over the Cayman Islands on Tuesday,
and approach Cuba on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The disturbance is expected to become a tropical depression or storm
today with additional strengthening forecast thereafter. The system
could be near or at hurricane intensity when it passes near the
Cayman Islands and Cuba.
* Formation chance through 48 hours ...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days... high...near 100 percent.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen can be found here.
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the Cayman Islands by
Tuesday afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are expected in
Jamaica by this evening.
RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall will impact areas of the Western Caribbean
with the heaviest rainfall occurring over Jamaica and portions of
Cuba through mid-week. Rainfall totals between 3 to 6 inches with
locally up to 9 inches are expected. Flooding could occur over
portions of Jamaica and Cuba, with mudslides possible.
Heavy rainfall will spread north into Florida and adjacent areas of
the Southeast United States during mid- to late week.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen, National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, here.
STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding is possible in Jamaica on
Monday and the Cayman Islands on Tuesday.
SURF: Swells generated by the system are expected to affect much
of the western Caribbean during the next few days. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM EST.
Forecaster Cangialosi
Safe Drinking Water Advisories
Mongomery County: The City of Amsterdam issued a BWA following a water shutdown Friday. The service disruption and restored service with BWA are impacting connections on Florida Avenue from Broadway to Dead End in Mudge Hollow, as well as water customers on Daniel Street with city water access. City of Amsterdam Water supplies a residential population of over twenty thousand from a surface water source. From the 2023 Annual Water Quality Report, "The City of Amsterdam receives its' water supply from three impounding reservoirs at the foothills of the Adirondack Mountains in Saratoga County. The total capacity is 10 million gallons servicing a broader community of approximately 21,000 people. Currently, the system's water demand is approximately 5.4 million gallons per average day. Upon entering a 24-inch pipe, the water is screened, metered, and disinfected with chlorine dioxide. The raw water then travels through 15 miles of pipe to the City of Amsterdam."
EPA Enforcement and Compliance History has the facility noted with non-compliance in 9 of the last 12 reporting quarters, the treatment technique under Lead and Copper Rule was at issue here for a short time in spring 2022, the matter has been addressed. The last sanitary survey was carried out by NYS in July 2023 with recommendations made in all applicable categories, including data verification, distribution, management-operation, operator compliance, pumps, source, financial and treatment.
See EPA - SDWA Compliance Report for NYS, October 2024, here.
See prior quarter EPA - SDWA Compliance Report for NYS, July 2024, here.
Voluntary Water Conservation
The Town of Monroe is asking residents to conserve water as the lack of rainfall, low streamflows and drought conditions have dropped the level in the reservoir. Town of Monroe established 1799 is operates seven water treatment plants in Orange County, each licensed separately. The water districts impacted by the voluntary water conservation request include:
- Water District 1 - High Ridge, population 308, served by surface water source purchased from another licensed facility in Orange County
- Water District 2 - STRL Heights-Hor Manor with 128 residents supplied by a groundwater source
- Water District 7 - Oreco Terrace - distributes potable water to 47 residents served with surface water purchased from another facility
- Water District 8 - Skyview Hills - distributes potable water to 544 residents with surface water purchased from another licensed facility
- Water District 10 - Pine Tree Road - distributes potable water to 50 residents with surface water purchased from another licensed facility
- Water District 12 - Monroe Hills Estates - serves potable water to 196 residents from a groundwater well source in Orange County
- Water District 14 - Orchard Hills Estates - serves potable water to 196 residents from a groundwater well source in Orange County
Orange County is in the Lower Hudson River watershed, rated below normal on the USGS drought map for some time. The below normal streamflows are clearly impacting drinking water supplies in the area, including surface reservoirs and groundwater wells which may not be refreshing underground as fast as the water is withdrawn. Watch for reports of HABs and spills in the region as the water levels are lower and this tends to concentrate nutrients and contaminants spilled. Turn on the watershed layer to view the water events occurring in the same drainage area as Monroe, depicted on the map with a brown tag for low water level.
Check here for the latest hazardous spill report for NYS,
and the latest report of NYS water bodies impacted by HABs this season.
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